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ECMWF 9-km [10-d]:   Global Pressure Level   |   Rain/Snow, Temperature   Regional Surface  |  3-hourly 0-144 hr   Updates at 1:45 AM|PM EDT
GFS 13-km [16-d]:   Global Pressure Level   |   Rain/Snow, Temperature   Regional Surface  |  3-hourly 0-144 hr   Updates 11:25 & 5:25 AM|PM EDT
Tropical Cyclone Spaghetti:   NCEP GEFS Ensembles  |  Canadian GEPS

Global Numerical Weather Prediction


 

NCEP GFS T1534   13-km & 0.25° Products
Priority Fast Look: Pressure Level   2016050500
Top Level Global Regions   2016050500
Top Level Surface Regions   2016050500
      +   GFS Regional Surface Products   |   Prior
      +   GFS 3-hourly Product Thru Day 6
      +   GFS Global Surface Products
      +   GFS Stratosphere
      +   GFS Global Pressure Level  |  +d(model)/dt
      +   GFS Energy Topical Page   |   16-day Panels
      +   GFS US/Canada Meteograms  |  Global
NCEP GFS Experimental / Parallel   Pressure Level
NCEP GEFS Ensembles [T574]   2016050418
      +   Energy Products  |   16-day Panels
      +   Tropical Low Locations   |   Extratropical
      +   GEFS Stratosphere
      +   GEFS Precipitation+Type   CONUS
      +   GEFS CONUS Ensemble Probability
      +   NAEFS EKDMOSv2   2-m T Meteograms
      +   GEFS 2.5-km Downscaled 2-m T MeteoGrams

ECMWF Full-Res [Tco1279] HRES & EPS: Cycle 41r2
ECMWF 0.5° (WMO-Essential) 2016050412
ECMWF 0.10° CONUS & NHEMI 2016050412
      +   United States   |   Canada   |   Australia+NZ
      +   ECMWF 0.10° Regional Surface   |   Legacy Link
      +   ECMWF Global Pressure Level  |  + d(model)/dt
      +   ECMWF Global Surface   |   EzClick Link
      +   ECMWF Stratosphere
      +   ECMWF Severe Weather [fixing]
ECMWF+EPS MeteoGrams:   USA & Canada   |  Global
ECMWF+EPS Storm Tracks:   Cyclone Forecasts

ECMWF Marine Wave Forecast GLOBAL 2016050412
ECMWF EPS [Ensemble 0.20°] 2016050412
      + Easy Navigation  |  Global EPS Surface
ECMWF EPS Probability: CONUS   +GLOBAL
ECMWF EPS Probability: NHEMI Pressure Levels
ECMWF EPS 50-members Stamps 2016050412
      +  EPS Precipitation & MSLP CONUS   |   51-ENS
      +   EPS Temp Anom   CONUS
      +   EPS TROPICAL  |   EXTRATROPICAL

Environment Canada Global Model (GEM) 2016050500
      +   CMC Metro/Regional Surface   |   +EzClick
      +   CMC Global Pressure Level
Environment Canada Global Ensembles 2016050412
      +  CMC Ensemble Probability Maps   |   Energy Products
Canadian 10km RGEM2016050500   Beta Page
Canadian 2.5km HRDPS   2016050418

Japanese Met Agency JMA Surface 2016050412
US Navy NAVGEM 2016050418
NASA GEOS-5 Aerosol/Dust Forecast
     +00Z 10-day Forecast:   Global Regions   2016050400
     +12Z 5-day Forecast:   Global Regions   2016050412
Freely Available   Experimental HIWPP data:
FIM9 2016050412
     +Regional Surface   |   Global Pressure Level

Mesoscale NWP   |   Current & Forecast


 

FREELY AVAILABLE @ weather.graphics
NCEP HRRR (3km) Simulated Radar 15hr Anim GIF
NCEP HRRR (3km) 2016050503   EzClick   Page
NSSL WRF (4km)   CONUS   2016050500
MRMS NexRAD Radar: Current Radar
NDFD 2.5-km Daily Temp  |  Rain+Snow   2016050504
      +Forecast Records:   LOWER 48 & REGIONAL VIEWS
      +SPC Severe Weather:   LOWER 48
NWS National Blend of Models 2.5-km Daily Temp
NWS WPC Precip 2016050500   Regional/Local
NCEP WPC 72-hr Winter Snow Forecasts
NWS 4-km Precipitation Analysis 2016050412
Lightning Strike Density   Updates every 15-minutes
NCAR Antarctica WRF [10-km]   2016050412
Germany ICON Global 3-day Model 0.125° [4x daily]

SREF Ensembles   2016050421   Cities  |  Rain/Snow Prob
NCEP NAM (12-km) 2016050500   |  EzClick
NAM-WRF 4km 2016050500  |  Hourly EzClick
NCEP Rapid Refresh Version 2 (RAP-13km) 2016050503
NCEP HRRR (3km) 2016050503   EzClick   Page
      +HRRR  Temp/Precip Meteograms
      +HRRR  15-minute Simulated Radar
ESRL HRRRX (3km) 2016050503 Experimental 24-hr WXBELL ECMWF-WRF (12km)   CONUS   2016050412
RTMA 2.5 km Meso Analysis 2016050503   |   Beta Page
NWS 4-km Precipitation Analysis 2016050412
NCEP WRF (4km):   CONUS 2016050500
    +Meteograms  |   Hourly Metro
NWS WPC Precipitation Forecasts 2016050500
NWS Gridded MOS [2.5km] CONUS 2016050412
NCEP Wave Watch 3 2016050418
Global RTOFS Ocean Model   2016050400   EzClick
Global SST & TC Heat Potential   |   OSTIA SST  |  OISSTv2

MeteoFrance ARPEGE [0.10°]
Europe Region    2016050412

HWRF & GFDL Hurricane Models
NCEP Hurricane WRF (HWRF) 2016042412
     +   HWRF all storms: EzClick
GFDL Hurricane Model 20160116

Long Range | Climate Forecasts & Analysis


 

CFS v2 Monthly   2016050406   Easy Click
CFS v2 Sub-Monthly   2016050418   Easy Click
     +   CFS v2 Sub-Monthly   Tropical   Snowfall
ECMWF EPS Weeklies   2016050200   +CONUS
     +   EPS 46-day CONUS+Canada   Meteograms
Environment Canada:  CanSIPS Monthly   2016050100
Atmosphere - Ocean Oscillations / Teleconnections
Global Temperature Anomaly   |   New page:  EzClick
Global Tropical Cyclone ACE

Climate Atlas   GFS analysis 2014-2016

Changes Made to Models Pages README
WeatherBELL & Ryan Maue:  In the News Media -- Print and Online   For quotes and comments email maue at weatherbell.com


January 2016: Physics Today
     +Europeans shine in weather forecasting.
January 2015: Blizzard miss in NYC.   Link
November 18, 2014: Record Breaking Cold Blankets US
    + Coldest November Morning Since 1976 Details

Hurricane Joaquin model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS -- Archive
Note: Any maps, images or charts from ECMWF (License) may never be posted or re-distributed (except for WMO-Essential). All other maps, images and charts from other models may be shared in moderation under the following conditions: The images may not be used for any commercial (revenue generating) purpose including, but not limited to, ad-supported websites or private consulting. Any images must be attributed to WeatherBell Analytics. If confused, ask Ryan.

Global Model Update Schedule   all times EDT

*Graphics created as soon as data file retrieved from server
NCEP GFS: (4x daily) - 11:25-12:50 AM/PM | 5:25-6:50 AM/PM
NCEP NAM: (12-kilometer 4-times daily) -- 9:50 | 3:50 AM/PM -- 4-km Nest 10-mins later
NCEP GEFS: Ensembles (4-times daily) -- 12:45 | 6:45 AM/PM -- 50 mins to finish
HWRF & GFDL Hurricane Model -- 7:35 | 1:35 AM/PM
Environment Canada Deterministic (2-times daily) -- 12:05 AM/PM -- 60 mins to finish
European Center 10-day HRES (ECMWF) (2x daily) -- 1:42 AM/PM -- 2:58 AM/PM
European Center 15-day Ensemble (ECMWF-EPS) (2x daily) -- 3:40-4:40 AM/PM