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ECMWF 14-km [10-d]:   Global Pressure Level   |   Rain/Snow, Temperature   Regional Surface  |  3-hourly 0-144 hr   Updates at 12:45 AM|PM EST
GFS 13-km [16-d]:   Global Pressure Level   |   Rain/Snow, Temperature   Regional Surface  |  3-hourly 0-144 hr   Updates 10:25 & 4:25 AM|PM EST
Tropical Cyclone Spaghetti:   NCEP GEFS Ensembles  |  Canadian GEPS
WeatherBELL & Ryan Maue:  In the News Media -- Print and Online   For quotes and comments email maue at weatherbell.com

Global Numerical Weather Prediction


 

NCEP GFS T1534   13-km & 0.25° Products
Priority Fast Look: Pressure Level   2016020912
Top Level Global Regions   2016020912
Top Level Surface Regions   2016020912
      +   GFS Regional Surface Products   |   Prior
      +   GFS 3-hourly Product Thru Day 6
      +   GFS Global Surface Products
      +   GFS Stratosphere
      +   GFS Global Pressure Level  |  +d(model)/dt
      +   GFS Energy Topical Page   |   16-day Panels
      +   GFS US/Canada Meteograms  |  Global
NCEP GFS Experimental / Parallel   Pressure Level
NCEP GEFS Ensembles [T574]   2016020912
      +   Energy Products  |   16-day Panels
      +   Tropical Low Locations   |   Extratropical
      +   GEFS Stratosphere
      +   GEFS Precipitation+Type   CONUS
      +   GEFS CONUS Ensemble Probability
      +   NAEFS EKDMOSv2   2-m T Meteograms
      +   GEFS 5-km Downscaled NDFD 2-m T MeteoGrams

ECMWF Parallel HRES 0.0625° & EPS [0.125°]:
      +   Surface HRES   2016020900   + Meteograms
      +   HRES Global Pressure Level
EPS:   NHEMI Pressure Level   |   EPS CONUS 5-DAY
ECMWF Parallel 46-Day Monthly EPS   2016020800
EPS-M   NHEMI   |   Snowfall   |   Meteograms
Implementation of ECMWF upgrade March 8, 2016
9-km (HRES) and 18-km (EPS).   Info  
Maps provisional / experimental.
If current date/time missing, then data is unavailable from ECMWF.


ECMWF Full-Res [T1279] HRES & EPS: Cycle 41r1
ECMWF 0.5° (WMO-Essential) 2016020900
ECMWF 0.125° CONUS & NHEMI 2016020900
      +   United States   |   Canada   |   Australia+NZ
      +   ECMWF 0.125° Regional Surface   |   Legacy Link
      +   ECMWF Global Pressure Level  |  + d(model)/dt
      +   ECMWF Global Surface   |   EzClick Link
      +   ECMWF Stratosphere
      +   ECMWF Severe Weather Coming Soon
ECMWF+EPS MeteoGrams:   USA & Canada   |  Global
ECMWF+EPS Storm Tracks:   Cyclone Forecasts

ECMWF Marine Wave Forecast GLOBAL 2016020900
ECMWF EPS (Ensemble 0.25°) 2016020900
      + Easy Navigation  |  Global EPS Surface
ECMWF EPS Probability: CONUS   +GLOBAL
ECMWF EPS Probability: NHEMI Pressure Levels
ECMWF EPS 50-members Stamps 2016020900
      +  EPS Precipitation & MSLP CONUS   |   51-ENS
      +   EPS Temp Anom   CONUS
      +   EPS TROPICAL  |   EXTRATROPICAL

Environment Canada Global Model (GEM) 2016020912
      +   CMC Metro/Regional Surface   |   +EzClick
      +   CMC Global Pressure Level
Environment Canada Global Ensembles 2016020900
      +  CMC Ensemble Probability Maps   |   Energy Products
Canadian 10km RGEM2016020912   Beta Page
Canadian 2.5km HRDPS   2016020912

Japanese Met Agency JMA Surface 2016020812
US Navy NAVGEM 2016020912
NASA GEOS-5 Aerosol/Dust Forecast
     +00Z 10-day Forecast:   Global Regions   2016020900
     +12Z 5-day Forecast:   Global Regions   2016020812
Experimental HIWPP data:
FIM9 full-resolution 2016020900
     +Regional Surface
     +Global Pressure Level

Mesoscale NWP   |   Current & Forecast


 

Freely Available
HRRR 3-km Simulated Radar 15-hr Animated GIF
MRMS Radar: Current Radar     |     Archive Radar
NDFD 2.5-km Daily Temp  |  Rain+Snow   2016020917
      +Forecast Records:   LOWER 48 & REGIONAL VIEWS
      +SPC Severe Weather:   LOWER 48
NWS National Blend of Models 2.5-km Daily Temp
NCEP WPC 72-hr Winter Snow Forecasts
NWS 4-km Precipitation Analysis 2016020912
Lightning Strike Density   Updates every 15-minutes
NCAR Antarctica WRF [10-km]   2016020900

SREF Ensembles   2016020909   Cities  |  Rain/Snow Prob
NCEP NAM (12-km) 2016020912   |  EzClick
NAM-WRF 4km 2016020912  |  Hourly EzClick
NCEP Rapid Refresh Version 2 (RAP-13km) 2016020916
NCEP HRRR (3km) 2016020916   EzClick   Page
      +HRRR  Temp/Precip Meteograms
      +HRRR  15-minute Simulated Radar
ESRL HRRRX (3km) 2016020910 Experimental 24-hr WXBELL ECMWF-WRF (12km)   CONUS   2016020900
RTMA 2.5 km Meso Analysis 2016020916   |   Beta Page
NWS 4-km Precipitation Analysis 2016020912
NCEP WRF (4km):   CONUS 2016020912
    +Meteograms  |   Hourly Metro
NWS WPC Precipitation Forecasts 2016020912
NWS Gridded MOS [2.5km] CONUS 2016020900
NCEP Wave Watch 3 2016020906
Global RTOFS Ocean Model   2016020900   EzClick
Global SST & TC Heat Potential   |   OSTIA SST  |  OISSTv2

MeteoFrance ARPEGE [0.10°]
Europe Region    2016020312

HWRF & GFDL Hurricane Models
NCEP Hurricane WRF (HWRF) 2016020906
     +   HWRF all storms: EzClick
GFDL Hurricane Model 20160116

Long Range | Climate Forecasts & Analysis


 

CFS v2 Monthly   2016020818   Easy Click
CFS v2 Sub-Monthly   2016020906   Easy Click
     +   CFS v2 Sub-Monthly   Tropical   Snowfall
ECMWF EPS Weeklies   2016020800   +CONUS
Environment Canada:  CanSIPS Monthly   2016020100
Atmosphere - Ocean Oscillations / Teleconnections
Global Temperature Anomaly   |   New page:  EzClick
Global Tropical Cyclone ACE

Climate Atlas   GFS analysis 2014-2016

Changes Made to Models Pages README

January 2016: Physics Today
     +Europeans shine in weather forecasting.
January 2015: Blizzard miss in NYC.   Link
November 18, 2014: Record Breaking Cold Blankets US
    + Coldest November Morning Since 1976 Details

Hurricane Joaquin model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS -- Archive
Note: Any maps, images or charts from ECMWF (License) may never be posted or re-distributed (except for WMO-Essential). All other maps, images and charts from other models may be shared in moderation under the following conditions: The images may not be used for any commercial (revenue generating) purpose including, but not limited to, ad-supported websites or private consulting. Any images must be attributed to WeatherBell Analytics. If confused, ask Ryan.

Global Model Update Schedule   all times EST

*Graphics created as soon as data file retrieved from server
NCEP GFS: (4x daily) - 10:22-11:50 AM/PM | 4:22-5:50 AM/PM
NCEP NAM: (12-kilometer 4-times daily) -- 8:50 | 2:50 AM/PM -- 4-km Nest 10-mins later
NCEP GEFS: Ensembles (4-times daily) -- 11:45 | 5:45 AM/PM -- 50 mins to finish
HWRF & GFDL Hurricane Model -- 6:35 | 12:35 AM/PM
Environment Canada Deterministic (2-times daily) -- 11:05 AM/PM -- 60 mins to finish
European Center 10-day HRES (ECMWF) (2x daily) -- 12:42 AM/PM -- 1:59 AM/PM
European Center 15-day Ensemble (ECMWF-EPS) (2x daily) -- 2:40-3:40 AM/PM